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Everton vs Crystal Palace

Premier League • Saturday, August 22, 2026 • 16:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Everton vs Crystal Palace Pre-Match Data

Everton enter this Premier League fixture ranked 13 with 49 points from 38 matches, while Crystal Palace sit 15 with 45 points. Everton hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Everton carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Everton have scored 47 and conceded 50, giving them a goal difference of -3. Crystal Palace have scored 41 and conceded 51, with a goal difference of -10. On that measure, Everton show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Everton's form string is LLDDL, while Crystal Palace's latest sequence is LDLDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Everton an overall score of 69 compared with 69 for Crystal Palace. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 69. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model.

Confidence

64% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.40 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.98 - 1.15 Everton vs Crystal Palace
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinEverton
49.55%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinCrystal Palace
32.45%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.94%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.82%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Everton win probability is 49.55%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Crystal Palace win probability is 32.45%. Expected goals: Everton 1.98, Crystal Palace 1.15. Recent form: Everton N/A (0 pts), Crystal Palace N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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