FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana
Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 17:00
Match Overview
Over 2.5 is supported by strong value metrics, a 62.12% model probability, and a combined xG of 3.14. FC Astana’s slight edge at home and both teams’ recent scoring trends point toward a higher-tempo match.
FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give FC Astana an overall score of 70 compared with 72 for Dinamo Tirana. The attacking ratings are 74 and 72, while form ratings stand at 70 and 72. This gives Dinamo Tirana the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.99 for FC Astana and 1.15 for Dinamo Tirana, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.12% and both teams to score at 73.96%.
Confidence
84%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.40Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.99 - 1.15FC Astana vs Dinamo TiranaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, FC Astana recorded 1 win(s), Dinamo Tirana recorded 0 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 1.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. FC Astana win probability is 49.78%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Dinamo Tirana win probability is 32.22%. Expected goals: FC Astana 1.99, Dinamo Tirana 1.15. Recent form: FC Astana WWWDL (10 pts), Dinamo Tirana LDWWL (7 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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