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FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town

Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 63%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FC Levadia Tallinn an overall score of 75 compared with 78 for Caernarfon Town. The attacking ratings are 75 and 81, while form ratings stand at 75 and 78. This gives Caernarfon Town the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.41 for FC Levadia Tallinn and 1.67 for Caernarfon Town, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.08. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.04% and both teams to score at 73.12%.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.41 - 1.67 FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFC Levadia Tallinn
35.15%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinCaernarfon Town
46.85%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.04%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.12%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge5.86%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. FC Levadia Tallinn win probability is 35.15%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Caernarfon Town win probability is 46.85%. Expected goals: FC Levadia Tallinn 1.41, Caernarfon Town 1.67. Recent form: FC Levadia Tallinn N/A (0 pts), Caernarfon Town N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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