FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town
Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 18:30
Match Overview
Over 2.5 goals is strongly supported by the model, with high xG, strong BTTS likelihood, and an elite value edge. Levadia’s home edge and both teams’ recent scoring form point toward an open European tie.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give FC Levadia Tallinn an overall score of 71 compared with 68 for Caernarfon Town. The attacking ratings are 75 and 81, while form ratings stand at 71 and 68. This gives FC Levadia Tallinn the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.97 for FC Levadia Tallinn and 1.16 for Caernarfon Town, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.13. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 78.65% and both teams to score at 76.82%.
Confidence
84%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
8.20Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.97 - 1.16FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon TownProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn recorded 1 win(s), Caernarfon Town recorded 0 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 5.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 100.00%. FC Levadia Tallinn win probability is 49.31%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Caernarfon Town win probability is 32.69%. Expected goals: FC Levadia Tallinn 1.97, Caernarfon Town 1.16. Recent form: FC Levadia Tallinn WWLDW (10 pts), Caernarfon Town LWWWW (12 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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