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FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik

Conference League • Thursday, August 06, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (67.39% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 52%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FC Lugano an overall score of 72 compared with 71 for NSI Runavik. The attacking ratings are 79 and 81, while form ratings stand at 72 and 71. This gives FC Lugano the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.98 for FC Lugano and 1.16 for NSI Runavik, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.12% and both teams to score at 67.39%.

Confidence

52% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.20 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.98 - 1.16 FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFC Lugano
49.48%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinNSI Runavik
32.52%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
67.39%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability67.39%
Model Probability%
Value Edge5.82%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 67.39%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=73, probability=67.39, confidence=52, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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