FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont
Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00
Match Overview
Over 2.5 is a value-led lean, supported by combined xG and BTTS indicators despite modest historical H2H scoring. Medium risk, but the market price appears generous relative to the model edge.
FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give FC Santa Coloma an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Penybont. The attacking ratings are 70 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives FC Santa Coloma the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.84 for FC Santa Coloma and 1.28 for Penybont, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.12. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.76% and both teams to score at 62.63%.
Confidence
82%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.60Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.84 - 1.28FC Santa Coloma vs PenybontProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 3 available meetings, FC Santa Coloma recorded 2 win(s), Penybont recorded 0 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 1.67 goals, with BTTS landing in 33.33% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. FC Santa Coloma win probability is 43.65%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Penybont win probability is 34.35%. Expected goals: FC Santa Coloma 1.84, Penybont 1.28. Recent form: FC Santa Coloma WLLLW (6 pts), Penybont LWWD (7 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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