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FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica

Europa League Europa League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.55 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence74%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff20:00
Market Odds@1.55
Match Statistical Context

FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FC ST. Gallen an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Benfica. The attacking ratings are 74 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.72 for FC ST. Gallen and 1.38 for Benfica, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 72.40% and both teams to score at 80.40%.

Confidence

74%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.40Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.72 - 1.38FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFC ST. Gallen
37.82%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinBenfica
34.18%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
72.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
80.40%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability64.52%
Model Probability%
Value Edge9.48%
Value RatingSTRONG
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. FC ST. Gallen win probability is 37.82%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Benfica win probability is 34.18%. Expected goals: FC ST. Gallen 1.72, Benfica 1.38. Recent form: FC ST. Gallen LLWWW (9 pts), Benfica WLWDD (8 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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