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FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga Bundesliga • Saturday, May 16, 2026 • 15:30

AI Prediction

BTTS Yes

Odds @1.53 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence62%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff15:30
Market Odds@1.53
Match Statistical Context

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Pre-Match Data

FC St. Pauli enter this Bundesliga fixture ranked 18 with 26 points from 34 matches, while VfL Wolfsburg sit 16 with 29 points. VfL Wolfsburg hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and VfL Wolfsburg carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. FC St. Pauli have scored 29 and conceded 60, giving them a goal difference of -31. VfL Wolfsburg have scored 45 and conceded 69, with a goal difference of -24. On that measure, VfL Wolfsburg show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: FC St. Pauli's form string is LLLLD, while VfL Wolfsburg's latest sequence is LDWLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give FC St. Pauli an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for VfL Wolfsburg. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70..

Confidence

62%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.20Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.39 - 1.15FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFC St. Pauli
40.76%
DrawMatch draw
15.25%
Away WinVfL Wolfsburg
43.98%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
48.00%
BTTSBoth teams to score
62.00%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability65.36%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-3.36%
Value Rating0
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. FC St. Pauli win probability is 40.76%, draw probability is 15.25%, and VfL Wolfsburg win probability is 43.98%. Expected goals: FC St. Pauli 1.39, VfL Wolfsburg 1.15.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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