Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie • Saturday, October 10, 2026 • 18:45
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Pre-Match Data
Feyenoord enter this Eredivisie fixture ranked 2 with 65 points from 34 matches, while AZ Alkmaar sit 7 with 52 points. Feyenoord hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Feyenoord carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Feyenoord have scored 70 and conceded 44, giving them a goal difference of 26. AZ Alkmaar have scored 58 and conceded 51, with a goal difference of 7. On that measure, Feyenoord show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Feyenoord's form string is WDWWD, while AZ Alkmaar's latest sequence is DDDDW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66 for Feyenoord and 0.69 for AZ Alkmaar, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.35. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.90% and both teams to score at 59.66%.
Confidence
77% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.70 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.66 - 0.69 Feyenoord vs AZ AlkmaarProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Feyenoord win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and AZ Alkmaar win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: Feyenoord 2.66, AZ Alkmaar 0.69. Recent form: Feyenoord N/A (0 pts), AZ Alkmaar N/A (0 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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