Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Serie A • Sunday, May 24, 2026 • 15:00
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Pre-Match Data
Fiorentina enter this Serie A fixture ranked 15 with 42 points from 38 matches, while Atalanta sit 7 with 59 points. Atalanta hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Atalanta carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Fiorentina have scored 41 and conceded 50, giving them a goal difference of -9. Atalanta have scored 51 and conceded 36, with a goal difference of 15. On that measure, Atalanta show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Fiorentina's form string is DWDLD, while Atalanta's latest sequence is DLWDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Fiorentina an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for Atalanta. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives Fiorentina the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78.
Confidence
68%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.80Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.78 - 2.36Fiorentina vs AtalantaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Fiorentina win probability is 20.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Atalanta win probability is 68.00%. Expected goals: Fiorentina 0.78, Atalanta 2.36.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Serie A Predictions
Continue with other AI-rated fixtures from this competition.
Join The PuntVault Football Community
Get free daily predictions, AI insights, football updates and VIP alerts directly on Telegram.
Unlock Premium Betting Intelligence
Access protected picks, higher-value markets, advanced analysis and premium betting coverage.