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FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.83 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence74%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff17:00
Market Odds@1.83
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Over 2.5 is the preferred angle. The model projects a lively Conference League tie with strong BTTS support and combined expected goals of 3.10. Value is rated elite at 1.78, though the medium-risk label reflects some market volatility.

Match Statistical Context

FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FK Liepaja an overall score of 70 compared with 71 for Austria Vienna. The attacking ratings are 64 and 76, while form ratings stand at 70 and 71. This gives Austria Vienna the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.67 for FK Liepaja and 1.43 for Austria Vienna, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 69.40% and both teams to score at 76.40%.

Confidence

74%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.10Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.67 - 1.43FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFK Liepaja
36.71%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinAustria Vienna
35.29%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
69.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
76.40%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability54.64%
Model Probability%
Value Edge16.36%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. FK Liepaja win probability is 36.71%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Austria Vienna win probability is 35.29%. Expected goals: FK Liepaja 1.67, Austria Vienna 1.43. Recent form: FK Liepaja WLWLW (9 pts), Austria Vienna WDDWL (8 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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