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FK Liepaja vs Dečić

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 18:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence61%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff18:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

FK Liepaja vs Dečić Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FK Liepaja an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Dečić. The attacking ratings are 64 and 69, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives FK Liepaja the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.36 for FK Liepaja and 1.71 for Dečić, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.07. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 60.86% and both teams to score at 72.98%.

Confidence

61%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.10Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.36 - 1.71FK Liepaja vs Dečić
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFK Liepaja
34.01%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinDečić
47.99%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
60.86%
BTTSBoth teams to score
72.98%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge4.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. FK Liepaja win probability is 34.01%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Dečić win probability is 47.99%. Expected goals: FK Liepaja 1.36, Dečić 1.71. Recent form: FK Liepaja LWLLL (3 pts), Dečić WDLLL (4 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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