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FK Liepaja vs Dečić

Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 63%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

FK Liepaja vs Dečić Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FK Liepaja an overall score of 62 compared with 67 for Dečić. The attacking ratings are 64 and 69, while form ratings stand at 62 and 67. This gives Dečić the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.45 for FK Liepaja and 1.63 for Dečić, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.08. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.04% and both teams to score at 73.12%.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.45 - 1.63 FK Liepaja vs Dečić
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFK Liepaja
34.48%
DrawMatch draw
22.00%
Away WinDečić
43.52%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.04%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.12%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge6.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. FK Liepaja win probability is 34.48%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Dečić win probability is 43.52%. Expected goals: FK Liepaja 1.45, Dečić 1.63. Recent form: FK Liepaja N/A (0 pts), Dečić N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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