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FK Liepaja vs Dečić

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (55.2% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence49%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

FK Liepaja vs Dečić Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FK Liepaja an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Dečić. The attacking ratings are 64 and 69, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives FK Liepaja the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.19 for FK Liepaja and 0.97 for Dečić, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.16. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 60.61% and both teams to score at 55.20%.

Confidence

49%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.19 - 0.97FK Liepaja vs Dečić
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFK Liepaja
58.79%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinDečić
29.21%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
60.61%
BTTSBoth teams to score
55.20%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-7.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 55.2%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=70, probability=55.20, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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