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FK Liepaja vs Dečić

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence94%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.75
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

BTTS Yes is supported by the model at 72% confidence, with both teams showing enough attacking output and a combined xG profile that points to goals at both ends.

Match Statistical Context

FK Liepaja vs Dečić Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FK Liepaja an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Dečić. The attacking ratings are 64 and 69, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives FK Liepaja the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.19 for FK Liepaja and 0.97 for Dečić, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.16. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 60.61% and both teams to score at 68.34%.

Confidence

94%High Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.19 - 0.97FK Liepaja vs Dečić
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFK Liepaja
58.79%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinDečić
29.21%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
60.61%
BTTSBoth teams to score
68.34%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge5.86%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 2 available meetings, FK Liepaja recorded 2 win(s), Dečić recorded 0 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 2.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 50.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 50.00%. FK Liepaja win probability is 58.79%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Dečić win probability is 29.21%. Expected goals: FK Liepaja 2.19, Dečić 0.97. Recent form: FK Liepaja WLWLW (9 pts), Dečić LLWDL (4 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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