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Dečić vs FK Liepaja

Conference League Conference League • Wednesday, July 15, 2026 • 20:30

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.83 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence74%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff20:30
Market Odds@1.83
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

BTTS Yes is supported by balanced xG, both teams’ recent scoring patterns, and a strong model edge. The market price looks generous versus a 68.12% BTTS projection, though the historical sample is limited.

Match Statistical Context

Dečić vs FK Liepaja Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Dečić an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for FK Liepaja. The attacking ratings are 69 and 64, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives FK Liepaja the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.52 for Dečić and 1.56 for FK Liepaja, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.08. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 56.04% and both teams to score at 68.12%.

Confidence

74%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.10Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.52 - 1.56Dečić vs FK Liepaja
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDečić
33.45%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinFK Liepaja
38.55%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
56.04%
BTTSBoth teams to score
68.12%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability54.64%
Model Probability%
Value Edge16.36%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Dečić recorded 0 win(s), FK Liepaja recorded 1 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 1.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Dečić win probability is 33.45%, draw probability is 28.00%, and FK Liepaja win probability is 38.55%. Expected goals: Dečić 1.52, FK Liepaja 1.56. Recent form: Dečić LWDLL (4 pts), FK Liepaja LWLWL (6 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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