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FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 16:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (55.23% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence49%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff16:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for Panevėžys. The attacking ratings are 74 and 61, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives Panevėžys the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.02 for FK Tobol Kostanay and 1.12 for Panevėžys, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.12% and both teams to score at 55.23%.

Confidence

49%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.02 - 1.12FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFK Tobol Kostanay
50.59%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinPanevėžys
31.41%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
55.23%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability55.23%
Model Probability%
Value Edge5.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 55.23%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=70, probability=55.23, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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