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FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (53.06% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence49%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give FK Zalgiris Vilnius an overall score of 69 compared with 69 for Petrovac. The attacking ratings are 75 and 71, while form ratings stand at 69 and 69. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.35 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.83 for Petrovac, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.18. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 72.41% and both teams to score at 53.06%.

Confidence

49%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.35 - 0.83FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFK Zalgiris Vilnius
63.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinPetrovac
25.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
72.41%
BTTSBoth teams to score
53.06%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-7.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 53.06%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=69, probability=53.06, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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