Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints
Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 18:00
Match Overview
Over 2.5 is the preferred angle, supported by strong goal probabilities and both teams’ recent scoring trends. The market offers solid value at 1.78, though medium risk remains due to balanced match-up dynamics.
Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Flora Tallinn an overall score of 69 compared with 69 for The New Saints. The attacking ratings are 76 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 69. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.81 for Flora Tallinn and 1.30 for The New Saints, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 68.58% and both teams to score at 80.54%.
Confidence
80%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.00Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.81 - 1.30Flora Tallinn vs The New SaintsProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Flora Tallinn win probability is 43.14%, draw probability is 22.00%, and The New Saints win probability is 34.86%. Expected goals: Flora Tallinn 1.81, The New Saints 1.3. Recent form: Flora Tallinn LDLWW (7 pts), The New Saints LLWDW (7 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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