Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie • Saturday, August 22, 2026 • 16:30
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Pre-Match Data
Fortuna Sittard enter this Eredivisie fixture ranked 11 with 39 points from 34 matches, while AZ Alkmaar sit 7 with 52 points. AZ Alkmaar hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and AZ Alkmaar carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Fortuna Sittard have scored 49 and conceded 63, giving them a goal difference of -14. AZ Alkmaar have scored 58 and conceded 51, with a goal difference of 7. On that measure, AZ Alkmaar show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Fortuna Sittard's form string is LWLLD, while AZ Alkmaar's latest sequence is DDDDW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78 for Fortuna Sittard and 2.24 for AZ Alkmaar, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.02. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 59.96% and both teams.
Confidence
75% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.50 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.78 - 2.24 Fortuna Sittard vs AZ AlkmaarProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Fortuna Sittard win probability is 20.86%, draw probability is 12.00%, and AZ Alkmaar win probability is 67.14%. Expected goals: Fortuna Sittard 0.78, AZ Alkmaar 2.24. Recent form: Fortuna Sittard N/A (0 pts), AZ Alkmaar N/A (0 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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