France vs Morocco
World Cup 2026 • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 22:00
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France are strongly favoured on model data, with superior form, ELO and expected goals. The home win offers elite value at 1.78, though Morocco’s recent resilience keeps some upset risk in play.
France vs Morocco Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give France an overall score of 87 compared with 86 for Morocco. The attacking ratings are 89 and 70, while form ratings stand at 87 and 86. This gives France the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66 for France and 0.69 for Morocco, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.35. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 73.90% and both teams to score at 62.66%.
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