France vs Spain
World Cup 2026 • Tuesday, July 14, 2026 • 21:00
France vs Spain Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give France an overall score of 87 compared with 87 for Spain. The attacking ratings are 89 and 86, while form ratings stand at 87 and 87. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.15 for France and 1.45 for Spain, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.60. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 78.40% and both teams to score at 76.30%.
Confidence
49% Low ConfidenceRisk Level
High Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
4.90 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.15 - 1.45 France vs SpainProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. France win probability is 46.59%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Spain win probability is 35.41%. Expected goals: France 2.15, Spain 1.45. Recent form: France WWWWW (15 pts), Spain WWWWD (13 pts).
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