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Fulham vs Chelsea

Premier League • Monday, August 24, 2026 • 21:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Fulham vs Chelsea Pre-Match Data

Fulham enter this Premier League fixture ranked 11 with 52 points from 38 matches, while Chelsea sit 10 with 52 points. Chelsea hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and neither team carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Fulham have scored 47 and conceded 51, giving them a goal difference of -4. Chelsea have scored 58 and conceded 52, with a goal difference of 6. On that measure, Chelsea show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Fulham's form string is WDLLW, while Chelsea's latest sequence is LWDLL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Fulham an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Chelsea. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives Fulham the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.66 - 1.44 Fulham vs Chelsea
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinFulham
36.42%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinChelsea
35.58%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.40%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Fulham win probability is 36.42%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Chelsea win probability is 35.58%. Expected goals: Fulham 1.66, Chelsea 1.44. Recent form: Fulham N/A (0 pts), Chelsea N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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