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Girona vs Real Sociedad

La Liga La Liga • Thursday, May 14, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

BTTS Yes

Odds @1.67 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence62%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff20:00
Market Odds@1.67
Match Statistical Context

Girona vs Real Sociedad Pre-Match Data

Girona enter this La Liga fixture ranked 19 with 41 points from 38 matches, while Real Sociedad sit 10 with 46 points. Real Sociedad hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Real Sociedad carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Girona have scored 39 and conceded 55, giving them a goal difference of -16. Real Sociedad have scored 59 and conceded 61, with a goal difference of -2. On that measure, Real Sociedad show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Girona's form string is DLDDL, while Real Sociedad's latest sequence is DLDDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Girona an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for Real Sociedad. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives Real Sociedad the model-rating edge..

Confidence

62%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.20Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.10 - 1.35Girona vs Real Sociedad
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinGirona
23.41%
DrawMatch draw
15.25%
Away WinReal Sociedad
61.34%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
48.00%
BTTSBoth teams to score
62.00%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability59.88%
Model Probability%
Value Edge2.12%
Value Rating0
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Girona win probability is 23.41%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Real Sociedad win probability is 61.34%. Expected goals: Girona 1.1, Real Sociedad 1.35.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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