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Groningen vs PEC Zwolle

Eredivisie • Saturday, September 19, 2026 • 18:45

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Pre-Match Data

Groningen enter this Eredivisie fixture ranked 9 with 48 points from 34 matches, while PEC Zwolle sit 15 with 37 points. Groningen hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Groningen carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Groningen have scored 49 and conceded 45, giving them a goal difference of 4. PEC Zwolle have scored 44 and conceded 71, with a goal difference of -27. On that measure, Groningen show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Groningen's form string is WWLLD, while PEC Zwolle's latest sequence is LLWLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66 for Groningen and 0.69 for PEC Zwolle, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.35. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.90% and both teams to score at 59.66%.

Confidence

77% High Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.70 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.66 - 0.69 Groningen vs PEC Zwolle
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinGroningen
68.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinPEC Zwolle
20.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.90%
BTTSBoth teams to score
59.66%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Groningen win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and PEC Zwolle win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: Groningen 2.66, PEC Zwolle 0.69. Recent form: Groningen N/A (0 pts), PEC Zwolle N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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