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Guingamp vs Boulogne

Ligue 2 • Friday, August 14, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Guingamp vs Boulogne Pre-Match Data

Guingamp enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 11 with 40 points from 34 matches, while Boulogne sit 15 with 36 points. Guingamp hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Guingamp carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Guingamp have scored 42 and conceded 49, giving them a goal difference of -7. Boulogne have scored 34 and conceded 49, with a goal difference of -15. On that measure, Guingamp show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Guingamp's form string is LLLLD, while Boulogne's latest sequence is LLLLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.13 for Guingamp and 1.02 for Boulogne, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.15. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.30% and both teams to score at 72.28%.

Confidence

65% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.13 - 1.02 Guingamp vs Boulogne
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinGuingamp
57.16%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinBoulogne
30.84%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.30%
BTTSBoth teams to score
72.28%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Guingamp win probability is 57.16%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Boulogne win probability is 30.84%. Expected goals: Guingamp 2.13, Boulogne 1.02. Recent form: Guingamp N/A (0 pts), Boulogne N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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