Guingamp vs Boulogne
Ligue 2 • Friday, August 14, 2026 • 20:45
Guingamp vs Boulogne Pre-Match Data
Guingamp enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 11 with 40 points from 34 matches, while Boulogne sit 15 with 36 points. Guingamp hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Guingamp carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Guingamp have scored 42 and conceded 49, giving them a goal difference of -7. Boulogne have scored 34 and conceded 49, with a goal difference of -15. On that measure, Guingamp show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Guingamp's form string is LLLLD, while Boulogne's latest sequence is LLLLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.13 for Guingamp and 1.02 for Boulogne, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.15. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.30% and both teams to score at 72.28%.
Confidence
65% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.50 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.13 - 1.02 Guingamp vs BoulogneProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Guingamp win probability is 57.16%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Boulogne win probability is 30.84%. Expected goals: Guingamp 2.13, Boulogne 1.02. Recent form: Guingamp N/A (0 pts), Boulogne N/A (0 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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