Guingamp vs PAU
Ligue 2 • Friday, October 16, 2026 • 20:00
Guingamp vs PAU Pre-Match Data
Guingamp enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 11 with 40 points from 34 matches, while PAU sit 9 with 45 points. PAU hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and PAU carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Guingamp have scored 42 and conceded 49, giving them a goal difference of -7. PAU have scored 48 and conceded 62, with a goal difference of -14. On that measure, Guingamp show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Guingamp's form string is LLLLD, while PAU's latest sequence is LLLWW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.42 for Guingamp and 1.65 for PAU, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.07. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 60.86% and both teams to score at 72.98%.
Confidence
63% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.30 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.42 - 1.65 Guingamp vs PAUProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Guingamp win probability is 33.80%, draw probability is 22.00%, and PAU win probability is 44.20%. Expected goals: Guingamp 1.42, PAU 1.65. Recent form: Guingamp N/A (0 pts), PAU N/A (0 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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