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Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht

Europa League Europa League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @2.37 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence90%
Risk LevelHigh Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@2.37
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Hammarby are priced as a strong home-side value play against Anderlecht, with the model favouring a home win and a high-scoring game. The edge is significant, but the market still implies medium risk.

Match Statistical Context

Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Hammarby FF an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Anderlecht. The attacking ratings are 84 and 78, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Anderlecht the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.09 for Hammarby FF and 1.06 for Anderlecht, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.15. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 70.30% and both teams to score at 79.84%.

Confidence

90%High Confidence

Risk Level

High RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.80Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.09 - 1.06Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinHammarby FF
55.95%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinAnderlecht
32.05%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
70.30%
BTTSBoth teams to score
79.84%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability42.19%
Model Probability%
Value Edge15.81%
Value RatingSTRONG
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Hammarby FF win probability is 55.95%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Anderlecht win probability is 32.05%. Expected goals: Hammarby FF 2.09, Anderlecht 1.06. Recent form: Hammarby FF WWWWL (12 pts), Anderlecht WWWD (10 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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