Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik
Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00
Match Overview
NSI Runavik are priced as the stronger side, with a clear away-win profile and strong value support. The model also leans toward goals, with Over 2.5 and BTTS both above 60%.
Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Hamrun Spartans an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for NSI Runavik. The attacking ratings are 75 and 81, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives NSI Runavik the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78 for Hamrun Spartans and 2.27 for NSI Runavik, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.05. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 60.50% and both teams to score at 60.92%.
Confidence
76%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.60Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.78 - 2.27Hamrun Spartans vs NSI RunavikProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Hamrun Spartans win probability is 20.64%, draw probability is 12.00%, and NSI Runavik win probability is 67.36%. Expected goals: Hamrun Spartans 0.78, NSI Runavik 2.27. Recent form: Hamrun Spartans N/A (0 pts), NSI Runavik N/A (0 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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