Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik
Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:30
Match Overview
NSI Runavik are priced as strong away favourites, supported by superior xG, better recent form and a high value edge. The model leans to an away win, with goals also in play.
Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Hamrun Spartans an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for NSI Runavik. The attacking ratings are 75 and 81, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives NSI Runavik the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78 for Hamrun Spartans and 2.32 for NSI Runavik, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.40% and both teams to score at 73.78%.
Confidence
90%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.60Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.78 - 2.32Hamrun Spartans vs NSI RunavikProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Hamrun Spartans recorded 0 win(s), NSI Runavik recorded 0 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 2.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 100.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Hamrun Spartans win probability is 20.24%, draw probability is 12.00%, and NSI Runavik win probability is 67.76%. Expected goals: Hamrun Spartans 0.78, NSI Runavik 2.32. Recent form: Hamrun Spartans DWLLW (7 pts), NSI Runavik DDDWW (9 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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