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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Champions League • Tuesday, August 04, 2026 • 19:30

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (58.26% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 50%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:30
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Hapoel Beer Sheva an overall score of 70 compared with 72 for FK Crvena Zvezda. The attacking ratings are 67 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 72. This gives FK Crvena Zvezda the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.24 for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.81 for FK Crvena Zvezda, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.05. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 71.50% and both teams to score at 58.26%.

Confidence

50% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.24 - 1.81 Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinHapoel Beer Sheva
33.29%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinFK Crvena Zvezda
54.71%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
71.50%
BTTSBoth teams to score
58.26%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability58.26%
Model Probability%
Value Edge16.82%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 58.26%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=72, probability=58.26, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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