Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets
Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 20:30
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Hapoel Tel Aviv an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for Ludogorets. The attacking ratings are 77 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives Hapoel Tel Aviv the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.84 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.28 for Ludogorets, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.12. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.76% and both teams to score at 73.68%.
Confidence
80%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.20Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.84 - 1.28Hapoel Tel Aviv vs LudogoretsProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Hapoel Tel Aviv win probability is 43.64%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Ludogorets win probability is 34.36%. Expected goals: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.84, Ludogorets 1.28. Recent form: Hapoel Tel Aviv DDWWD (9 pts), Ludogorets WWWD (10 pts).
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