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HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 18:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.83 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence90%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff18:00
Market Odds@1.83
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Over 2.5 is strongly supported by the model, with high goal probabilities and a strong BTTS angle. Coleraine carry the better win profile, but the main value remains in a match with two-way scoring potential.

Match Statistical Context

HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give HJK Helsinki an overall score of 71 compared with 68 for Coleraine FC. The attacking ratings are 74 and 86, while form ratings stand at 71 and 68. This gives HJK Helsinki the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.14 for HJK Helsinki and 1.90 for Coleraine FC, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.04. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 71.32% and both teams to score at 75.56%.

Confidence

90%High Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.30Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.14 - 1.90HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinHJK Helsinki
30.64%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinColeraine FC
57.36%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
71.32%
BTTSBoth teams to score
75.56%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability54.64%
Model Probability%
Value Edge18.36%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. HJK Helsinki win probability is 30.64%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Coleraine FC win probability is 57.36%. Expected goals: HJK Helsinki 1.14, Coleraine FC 1.9. Recent form: HJK Helsinki WLWLW (9 pts), Coleraine FC WWWW (12 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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