HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina
Europa League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 20:00
Match Overview
Hajduk Split are priced as the stronger side and the numbers support a home win. Their superior ELO, better recent form and clear xG edge point to control, though the BTTS/Over 2.5 profile adds some scoring volatility.
HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give HNK Hajduk Split an overall score of 72 compared with 70 for Žilina. The attacking ratings are 86 and 66, while form ratings stand at 72 and 70. This gives HNK Hajduk Split the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.41 for HNK Hajduk Split and 0.78 for Žilina, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.19. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.02% and both teams to score at 63.92%.
Confidence
70%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.00Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.41 - 0.78HNK Hajduk Split vs ŽilinaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. HNK Hajduk Split win probability is 64.53%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Žilina win probability is 23.47%. Expected goals: HNK Hajduk Split 2.41, Žilina 0.78. Recent form: HNK Hajduk Split WWWWD (13 pts), Žilina DDLDL (3 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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