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HNK Rijeka vs Ilves

Conference League • Thursday, August 06, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 62%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

HNK Rijeka vs Ilves Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give HNK Rijeka an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Ilves. The attacking ratings are 75 and 70, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.17 for HNK Rijeka and 0.99 for Ilves, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.16. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.48% and both teams to score at 69.86%.

Confidence

62% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.20 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.17 - 0.99 HNK Rijeka vs Ilves
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinHNK Rijeka
58.08%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinIlves
29.92%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.48%
BTTSBoth teams to score
69.86%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge5.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. HNK Rijeka win probability is 58.08%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Ilves win probability is 29.92%. Expected goals: HNK Rijeka 2.17, Ilves 0.99. Recent form: HNK Rijeka WWWWW (15 pts), Ilves WWLWW (12 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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