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Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Champions League • Tuesday, July 21, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (68.84% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 53%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Larne an overall score of 71 compared with 75 for FK Crvena Zvezda. The attacking ratings are 83 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 75. This gives FK Crvena Zvezda the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.74 for Larne and 1.37 for FK Crvena Zvezda, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.58% and both teams to score at 68.84%.

Confidence

53% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.74 - 1.37 Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinLarne
38.18%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinFK Crvena Zvezda
33.82%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.58%
BTTSBoth teams to score
68.84%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-3.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 68.84%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=74, probability=68.84, confidence=53, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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