Larne vs Tre Fiori
Champions League • Tuesday, July 14, 2026 • 21:00
Match Overview
Larne are priced as the stronger side and the model leans to goals, with Over 2.5 supported by solid xG and BTTS numbers. The edge is positive, but the historical H2H sample is very small.
Larne vs Tre Fiori Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Larne an overall score of 69 compared with 67 for Tre Fiori. The attacking ratings are 83 and 79, while form ratings stand at 69 and 67. This gives Larne the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.21 for Larne and 0.95 for Tre Fiori, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.16. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 66.48% and both teams to score at 69.30%.
Confidence
90%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.90Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.21 - 0.95Larne vs Tre FioriProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Larne recorded 1 win(s), Tre Fiori recorded 0 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 1.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Larne win probability is 59.29%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Tre Fiori win probability is 28.71%. Expected goals: Larne 2.21, Tre Fiori 0.95. Recent form: Larne WWWDW (13 pts), Tre Fiori LLDWW (7 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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