Le Havre vs Auxerre
Ligue 1 • Saturday, October 17, 2026 • 17:00
Le Havre vs Auxerre Pre-Match Data
Le Havre enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 14 with 35 points from 34 matches, while Auxerre sit 15 with 34 points. Le Havre hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Le Havre carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Le Havre have scored 32 and conceded 44, giving them a goal difference of -12. Auxerre have scored 34 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -10. On that measure, Auxerre show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Le Havre's form string is WLDDD, while Auxerre's latest sequence is WWWLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Le Havre an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Auxerre. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's.
Confidence
63% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.30 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.61 - 1.49 Le Havre vs AuxerreProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Le Havre win probability is 35.32%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Auxerre win probability is 36.68%. Expected goals: Le Havre 1.61, Auxerre 1.49. Recent form: Le Havre N/A (0 pts), Auxerre N/A (0 pts).
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