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Le Havre vs Auxerre

Ligue 1 • Saturday, October 17, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Le Havre vs Auxerre Pre-Match Data

Le Havre enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 14 with 35 points from 34 matches, while Auxerre sit 15 with 34 points. Le Havre hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Le Havre carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Le Havre have scored 32 and conceded 44, giving them a goal difference of -12. Auxerre have scored 34 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -10. On that measure, Auxerre show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Le Havre's form string is WLDDD, while Auxerre's latest sequence is WWWLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Le Havre an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Auxerre. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.61 - 1.49 Le Havre vs Auxerre
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinLe Havre
35.32%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinAuxerre
36.68%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.40%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Le Havre win probability is 35.32%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Auxerre win probability is 36.68%. Expected goals: Le Havre 1.61, Auxerre 1.49. Recent form: Le Havre N/A (0 pts), Auxerre N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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