Lecce vs AS Roma
Serie A • Sunday, August 30, 2026 • 18:30
Lecce vs AS Roma Pre-Match Data
Lecce enter this Serie A fixture ranked 17 with 38 points from 38 matches, while AS Roma sit 3 with 73 points. AS Roma hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and AS Roma carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Lecce have scored 28 and conceded 50, giving them a goal difference of -22. AS Roma have scored 59 and conceded 31, with a goal difference of 28. On that measure, AS Roma show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Lecce's form string is WWLWD, while AS Roma's latest sequence is WWWWW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Lecce an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for AS Roma. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge..
Confidence
77% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.70 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.78 - 2.36 Lecce vs AS RomaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Lecce win probability is 20.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and AS Roma win probability is 68.00%. Expected goals: Lecce 0.78, AS Roma 2.36. Recent form: Lecce N/A (0 pts), AS Roma N/A (0 pts).
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