Lecce vs Bologna
Serie A • Sunday, October 11, 2026 • 18:30
Lecce vs Bologna Pre-Match Data
Lecce enter this Serie A fixture ranked 17 with 38 points from 38 matches, while Bologna sit 8 with 56 points. Bologna hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Bologna carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Lecce have scored 28 and conceded 50, giving them a goal difference of -22. Bologna have scored 49 and conceded 46, with a goal difference of 3. On that measure, Bologna show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Lecce's form string is WWLWD, while Bologna's latest sequence is DWWDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Lecce an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Bologna. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of.
Confidence
77% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.70 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.78 - 2.36 Lecce vs BolognaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Lecce win probability is 20.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Bologna win probability is 68.00%. Expected goals: Lecce 0.78, Bologna 2.36. Recent form: Lecce N/A (0 pts), Bologna N/A (0 pts).
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