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Lens vs Auxerre

Ligue 1 • Saturday, August 22, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Lens vs Auxerre Pre-Match Data

Lens enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 2 with 70 points from 34 matches, while Auxerre sit 15 with 34 points. Lens hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Lens carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Lens have scored 66 and conceded 35, giving them a goal difference of 31. Auxerre have scored 34 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -10. On that measure, Lens show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Lens's form string is WLWDD, while Auxerre's latest sequence is WWWLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Lens an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Auxerre. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of.

Confidence

77% High Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.70 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.66 - 0.69 Lens vs Auxerre
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinLens
68.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinAuxerre
20.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.90%
BTTSBoth teams to score
59.66%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Lens win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Auxerre win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: Lens 2.66, Auxerre 0.69. Recent form: Lens N/A (0 pts), Auxerre N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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