Lille vs Auxerre
Ligue 1 • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 21:00
Lille vs Auxerre Pre-Match Data
Lille enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 3 with 61 points from 34 matches, while Auxerre sit 15 with 34 points. Lille hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Lille carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Lille have scored 52 and conceded 37, giving them a goal difference of 15. Auxerre have scored 34 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -10. On that measure, Lille show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Lille's form string is LWDWD, while Auxerre's latest sequence is WWWLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Lille an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Auxerre. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Auxerre the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.93.
Confidence
89%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
8.90Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.93 - 0.30Lille vs AuxerreProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Lille win probability is 89.99%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Auxerre win probability is -5.25%. Expected goals: Lille 2.93, Auxerre 0.30.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Ligue 1 Predictions
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