Lorient vs Le Havre
Ligue 1 • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 21:00
Lorient vs Le Havre Pre-Match Data
Lorient enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 9 with 45 points from 34 matches, while Le Havre sit 14 with 35 points. Lorient hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Lorient carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Lorient have scored 48 and conceded 51, giving them a goal difference of -3. Le Havre have scored 32 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -12. On that measure, Lorient show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Lorient's form string is LWDLW, while Le Havre's latest sequence is WLDDD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Lorient an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Le Havre. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Le Havre the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model.
Confidence
64%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.40Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.10 - 0.65Lorient vs Le HavreProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Lorient win probability is 64.08%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Le Havre win probability is 20.66%. Expected goals: Lorient 2.1, Le Havre 0.65.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Ligue 1 Predictions
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