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Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Conference League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (57.68% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 50%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Ludogorets an overall score of 75 compared with 74 for Hapoel Tel Aviv. The attacking ratings are 75 and 76, while form ratings stand at 75 and 74. This gives Ludogorets the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.66 for Ludogorets and 1.44 for Hapoel Tel Aviv, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.40% and both teams to score at 57.68%.

Confidence

50% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.66 - 1.44 Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinLudogorets
36.40%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinHapoel Tel Aviv
35.60%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
57.68%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-6.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 57.68%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=70, probability=57.68, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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