Lyon vs Auxerre
Ligue 1 • Saturday, September 05, 2026 • 17:00
Lyon vs Auxerre Pre-Match Data
Lyon enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 4 with 60 points from 34 matches, while Auxerre sit 15 with 34 points. Lyon hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Lyon carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Lyon have scored 53 and conceded 40, giving them a goal difference of 13. Auxerre have scored 34 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -10. On that measure, Lyon show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Lyon's form string is LLWWW, while Auxerre's latest sequence is WWWLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Lyon an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Auxerre. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Auxerre the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66.
Confidence
77% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.70 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.66 - 0.69 Lyon vs AuxerreProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Lyon win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Auxerre win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: Lyon 2.66, Auxerre 0.69. Recent form: Lyon N/A (0 pts), Auxerre N/A (0 pts).
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