Lyon vs Lens
Ligue 1 • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 21:00
Lyon vs Lens Pre-Match Data
Lyon enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 4 with 60 points from 34 matches, while Lens sit 2 with 70 points. Lens hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Lens carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Lyon have scored 53 and conceded 40, giving them a goal difference of 13. Lens have scored 66 and conceded 35, with a goal difference of 31. On that measure, Lens show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Lyon's form string is LLWWW, while Lens's latest sequence is WLWDD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Lyon an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Lens. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Lens the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.04.
Confidence
62%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.20Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.04 - 1.39Lyon vs LensProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Lyon win probability is 32.61%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Lens win probability is 52.14%. Expected goals: Lyon 1.04, Lens 1.39.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Ligue 1 Predictions
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