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Lyon vs Nice

Ligue 1 • Saturday, October 17, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Lyon vs Nice Pre-Match Data

Lyon enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 4 with 60 points from 34 matches, while Nice sit 16 with 32 points. Lyon hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Lyon carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Lyon have scored 53 and conceded 40, giving them a goal difference of 13. Nice have scored 37 and conceded 60, with a goal difference of -23. On that measure, Lyon show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Lyon's form string is LLWWW, while Nice's latest sequence is WDDLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Lyon an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Nice. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Nice the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66.

Confidence

77% High Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.70 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.66 - 0.69 Lyon vs Nice
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinLyon
68.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinNice
20.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.90%
BTTSBoth teams to score
59.66%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Lyon win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Nice win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: Lyon 2.66, Nice 0.69. Recent form: Lyon N/A (0 pts), Nice N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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