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Lyon vs Rennes

Ligue 1 • Saturday, September 19, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Lyon vs Rennes Pre-Match Data

Lyon enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 4 with 60 points from 34 matches, while Rennes sit 6 with 59 points. Lyon hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Lyon carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Lyon have scored 53 and conceded 40, giving them a goal difference of 13. Rennes have scored 59 and conceded 50, with a goal difference of 9. On that measure, Lyon show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Lyon's form string is LLWWW, while Rennes's latest sequence is LWLWW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Lyon an overall score of 69 compared with 69 for Rennes. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 69. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of.

Confidence

64% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.40 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.88 - 1.25 Lyon vs Rennes
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinLyon
46.92%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinRennes
35.08%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.94%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.82%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Lyon win probability is 46.92%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Rennes win probability is 35.08%. Expected goals: Lyon 1.88, Rennes 1.25. Recent form: Lyon N/A (0 pts), Rennes N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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