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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

Europa League • Thursday, August 06, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (77.38% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 72%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Maccabi Tel Aviv an overall score of 72 compared with 70 for CSKA Sofia. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 72 and 70. This gives Maccabi Tel Aviv the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 2.36 for CSKA Sofia, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.12% and both teams to score at 77.38%.

Confidence

72% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.20 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.78 - 2.36 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinMaccabi Tel Aviv
20.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinCSKA Sofia
68.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
77.38%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability77.38%
Model Probability%
Value Edge16.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 77.38%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=81, probability=77.38, confidence=72, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=strong.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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