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Metz vs Guingamp

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 • Saturday, August 08, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence75%
Risk LevelLow Risk
Kickoff20:45
Market Odds@1.75
Match Statistical Context

Metz vs Guingamp Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Metz an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Guingamp. The attacking ratings are 75 and 60, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives Metz the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.68 for Metz and 1.42 for Guingamp, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 69.19% and both teams to score at 78.39%.

Confidence

75%High Confidence

Risk Level

Low RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.50Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.68 - 1.42Metz vs Guingamp
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinMetz
36.89%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinGuingamp
35.11%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
69.19%
BTTSBoth teams to score
78.39%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge17.86%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 5 available meetings, Metz recorded 2 win(s), Guingamp recorded 1 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 3.80 goals, with BTTS landing in 60.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 60.00%. Metz win probability is 36.89%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Guingamp win probability is 35.11%. Expected goals: Metz 1.68, Guingamp 1.42. Recent form: Metz WWWWD (13 pts), Guingamp LLL (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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